A blog which periodically revisits evergreen investment principles!

Category: Behavioral Finance Page 1 of 2

What powers the world of Moneylanders?

The Oracle of Omaha once wrote, “It has been far safer to steal large sums with a pen than small sums with a gun” (1988 Chairman’s Letter to Shareholders).

This statement rings loud and clear in an era where entrepreneurs have amassed humongous amounts of illicit wealth by siphoning off shareholders’ money or diverting proceeds from lenders for personal purposes, leaving no distinction between corporate net worth and their own. 

The greed for a lavish life, the desire to meet analysts’ quarterly expectations, to drive up the stock price (they benefit from stock options) makes corporate frauds an endless battle to fight against.

Howard Schilit in his book, ‘Financial Shenanigans’ has very well illuminated the multiple ways by which it is highly possible to dress the financial results and manipulate numbers and stock price.

Do companies get the shareholders they deserve?

Traditional Textbook Economics has the point of view of maximising utility. It means that each individual’s action in the economy is based on the expectation that they will make the maximum possible gain from a transaction. Whereas, behavioural economics has taught us, painfully, that we may not always be doing this well. We may set out with the best intentions of maximum gain but many times our actions fall short of the goal.

It is not the final action, but the motivation underlying the action, that decides what is or is not viewed as cooperative or fair behaviour.
– Games Indians Play by V Raghunathan

Data Habits for the Digital Minimalist

What do we know so far…

  • Every single piece of information is a data point.
  • Very few data points are privileged to become an actionable data point, something that can be used to make a decision.
  • What happens to the remaining data points? They either get accumulated in a large heap of some trend or are ruthlessly forgotten by us for not being relevant.

What is Real?

In the film The Matrix, Morpheus asks Neo after he unplugs Neo from the Matrix,

What is real? How do you define Real?

I think in the age of never ending stimuli that’s perhaps the most relevant question we can ask ourselves. There is an often misrepresented quote –

Ignorance is bliss.

Too Much Trust…

Risk aversion is what keeps the market honest & sane

– Howard Marks.

Is there something like ‘too much trust’? Can there be a situation where we so blindly accept our fate in the future that we forget that there ever was something like uncertainty?

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