A blog which periodically revisits evergreen investment principles!

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Dilemma in selecting hybrid funds

Since March 2023, the category of hybrid funds has witnessed a significant surge in assets under management (AUM), almost doubling. This is largely due to the favorable tax treatment of certain hybrid fund types and their ability to offer diversified exposure across different asset classes. 

Source: Hybrid Fund AUM (Rs Lakh crore)(AMFI Data) 

The rise in popularity of Dynamic Asset Allocation funds, Balanced Advantage Funds , Multi-Asset Allocation Funds, and Equity Savings Funds can also be seen as part of a broader trend where investors are increasingly seeking tax-efficient, diversified  investment strategies, especially in the current volatile market environment. 

However, investors often make mistakes when selecting these hybrid funds, primarily due to a lack of alignment with their individual risk profiles, financial goals, and other critical factors. Here’s a closer look at some of the common mistakes investors make when choosing hybrid funds and how they can avoid them: 

Overestimating Stability and Underestimating Volatility :

Some investors mistakenly believe that hybrid funds, due to their diversified nature, are always low-risk. While hybrid funds are less volatile than pure equity funds, they can still experience significant fluctuations. 

A Balanced Advantage Fund /Dynamic Asset Allocation Funds might have a large allocation to equities, which could lead to substantial volatility in bear markets. If an investor expects consistent returns, they could be caught off guard during periods of market downturns.

It’s important for investors to understand that while hybrid funds are designed to reduce volatility compared to pure equity funds, they are not completely risk-free. They can still be impacted by market corrections, interest rate changes, and other macroeconomic factors

Ignoring Fund Strategy and Asset Allocation:

Focusing too much on past returns without understanding the underlying asset allocation strategy of the hybrid fund can lead to poor decision-making. The asset mix and how actively the fund manager adjusts the allocation based on market conditions are crucial factors in determining the future performance of a fund. 

Always check the fund’s investment philosophy and asset allocation strategy.  This gives a clearer picture of what to expect from the fund beyond just past performance. 

Time Horizon:

Hybrid funds, which invest in both equity and debt instruments, typically experience higher volatility than debt-only funds. As a result, these funds are better suited for medium to long-term investment horizons. While they aim to balance risk and return by adjusting the equity and debt allocation, hybrid funds are not immune to short-term market volatility. 

For investors with a shorter investment horizon, liquid funds or arbitrage funds are more appropriate. 

Comparing one fund with another:

One of the unique characteristics of hybrid funds is their flexibility to allocate between equity and debt based on the fund manager’s strategy and prevailing market conditions subject to SEBI MF Regulations. This flexibility means that hybrid funds are not directly comparable to each other in the traditional sense, especially when compared to more straightforward equity or debt funds. 

A Dynamic Asset Allocation Fund may hold a higher percentage in equities during a bull market, while another may hold a lower percentage. Some hybrid funds have a higher equity exposure, targeting more aggressive growth over the long term. Others may maintain a lower equity allocation and balance with arbitrage opportunities, focusing on capital preservation with some growth potential. 

The type of debt instruments used in a hybrid fund (e.g., government bonds, corporate bonds, or money market instruments) also affects its risk and return profile. A fund investing in higher-rated bonds will typically have lower risk and lower returns, while one investing in lower-rated bonds could have higher returns, but with a corresponding increase in risk. 

Because of the flexibility in asset allocation and different investment strategies, hybrid funds are not easily comparable. When evaluating these funds, it’s important to focus on the investment objective, risk tolerance, time horizon, and management style rather than just comparing them based on past returns or a single performance metric. Each hybrid fund is designed to meet specific investor needs, and understanding the underlying strategy is key to making an informed decision. 

Disclaimer: Views expressed herein are personal in nature and cannot be construed to be a decision to invest  

Games We Play

A few months ago I read a very nice post by @Alex_Danco on why VC’s should play bridge. It’s worth reading & it inspired me to write from my own experience of learning this interesting card game along with my friends, during the lockdown.

For any investor it is impossible to ignore these steps, the data, the analysis, the partnership, the expectation, the execution & finally luck

In my view, the game of bridge is so well designed, that we get to see all these things play out in every single gameplay.

What powers the world of Moneylanders?

The Oracle of Omaha once wrote, “It has been far safer to steal large sums with a pen than small sums with a gun” (1988 Chairman’s Letter to Shareholders).

This statement rings loud and clear in an era where entrepreneurs have amassed humongous amounts of illicit wealth by siphoning off shareholders’ money or diverting proceeds from lenders for personal purposes, leaving no distinction between corporate net worth and their own. 

The greed for a lavish life, the desire to meet analysts’ quarterly expectations, to drive up the stock price (they benefit from stock options) makes corporate frauds an endless battle to fight against.

Howard Schilit in his book, ‘Financial Shenanigans’ has very well illuminated the multiple ways by which it is highly possible to dress the financial results and manipulate numbers and stock price.

Tweaks to our investing framework

The headline first.

There is no change to the basics of our investing approach.”

Our investing approach consists of

  • Investing only with Promoters / Managers who have the best interests of shareholders at heart and who are competent in the business that they run.
  • Investing in businesses where the underlying characteristics are good. These are, limited competition and pricing power which ultimately is shown by high return on capital employed.
  • Limited use of leverage in the non banking / financial businesses we own.
  • A good potential for growing the business is usually a positive provided it can be done in a capital efficient manner.
  • Buying at attractive valuations.

Investors who do not care for the nuances may ignore this post completely.

Do companies get the shareholders they deserve?

Traditional Textbook Economics has the point of view of maximising utility. It means that each individual’s action in the economy is based on the expectation that they will make the maximum possible gain from a transaction. Whereas, behavioural economics has taught us, painfully, that we may not always be doing this well. We may set out with the best intentions of maximum gain but many times our actions fall short of the goal.

It is not the final action, but the motivation underlying the action, that decides what is or is not viewed as cooperative or fair behaviour.
– Games Indians Play by V Raghunathan

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